Program
4D. Forecasting volcanic hazards II All abstracts
| Oral presentation Date/Room/Chair |
July 24 AM1 (8:45-10:30) | Room A6 | John Eichelberger, Stephen Tait, Hiroaki Takahashi |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 24 AM2 (10:45-12:30) | Room A6 | Evgeny Gordeev, Shinji Takarada, Yujiro Suzuki | |
| July 24 PM1 (15:00-16:45) | Room A6 | Augusto Neri, Charles Connor, Kazutaka Mannen, Hisashi Sasaki | |
| Poster presentation | July 24 Core Time (13:30-15:00) | ||
| Convener | Shinji Takarada, J. Eichelberger | ||
| Date/Time | No. | Title | Authors | Presenter | Page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24 8:45-9:00 |
4A1_4D-O1 Invited |
Long-term forecast of eruptions from Mono-Inyo volcanic chain, CA, USA | Marcus Bursik, Galina Rogova, Solene Pouget, Other | Marcus Bursik | 1137 |
| July 24 9:00-9:15 |
4A1_4D-O2 | A multi-scale risk assessment for tephra fallout and airborne concentration from multiple Icelandic volcanoes - Part I: hazard assessment | Sebastien Biass, Chiara Scaini, Costanza Bonadonna, Other | Sebastien Biass | 1138 |
| July 24 9:15-9:30 |
4A1_4D-O3 | A multi-scale risk assessment for tephra fallout and airborne concentration from multiple Icelandic volcanoes - Part II: vulnerability and impact assessment | Chiara Scaini, Sebastien Biass, Adriana Galderisi, Other | Chiara Scaini | 1139 |
| July 24 9:30-9:45 |
4A1_4D-O4 | MODELING FOR THE DISTRIBUTION OF PYROCLASTIC FLOW MERAPI VOLCANO USING TITAN2D AND LIDAR DIGITAL ELEVATION MODEL | Nurnaning Aisyah, Christina Widiwijayanti, Subandriyo, Other | Nurnaning Aisyah | 1140 |
| July 24 9:45-10:00 |
4A1_4D-O5 | The VORISA project: A novel approach to assessing long-term volcanic hazard in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia | Mohammed R Moufti, Jan M Lindsay | Jan M Lindsay | 1141 |
| July 24 10:00-10:15 |
4A1_4D-O6 | Re-evaluation for the Impact of a Gigantic Eruption from Ilopango Caldera, El Salvador, Central America, in the 3rd to 6th Centuries | Shigeru Kitamura | Shigeru Kitamura | 1142 |
| July 24 10:15-10:30 |
4A1_4D-O7 | TOPAZ: Long-term volcanic risk forecasting for deep geological repositories for radioactive waste | Ellie Scourse, Chuck Connor, Olivier Jaquet, Other | Ellie Scourse | 1143 |
| July 24 10:45-11:00 |
4A2_4D-O8 Invited |
Quantitative modelling of disaster risk at La Soufriere, Guadeloupe | Susanna Jenkins, Peter Baxter, Robin Spence, Other | Susanna Jenkins | 1144 |
| July 24 11:00-11:15 |
4A2_4D-O9 | Towards a global volcanic hazards index | Melanie R Auker, Steve Sparks, Susanna Jenkins, Other | Melanie R Auker | 1145 |
| July 24 11:15-11:30 |
4A2_4D-O10 | Long-term eruption forecasting at Ischia volcano | Laura Sandri, Lucia Zaccarelli, Sandro de Vita, Other | Laura Sandri | 1146 |
| July 24 11:30-11:45 |
4A2_4D-O11 | Tephrostratigraphy Concerning Resedimentation of Tephras | Tomohiro Tsuji, Michiharu Ikeda, Akira Furusawa, Other | Tomohiro Tsuji | 1147 |
| July 24 11:45-12:00 |
4A2_4D-O12 | The development of structures and morphology in analog debris avalanches: Implications for natural examples | Engielle Mae R Paguican, Benjamin van Wyk de Vries, Pablo Grosse, Other | Engielle Mae R Paguican | 1148 |
| July 24 12:00-12:15 |
4A2_4D-O13 | Estimate of mass flow in gas plumes from the 2010-2012 eruptions of Gorely Volcano, Kamchatka | Evgeny I Gordeev, Valery V Droznin, Irina K Dubrovskaya | Evgeny I Gordeev | 1149 |
| July 24 12:15-12:30 |
4A2_4D-O14 | Geochemical precursors for eruption repose length | Rebecca M Green, Mark S Bebbington, Shane J Cronin, Other | Rebecca M Green | 1150 |
| July 24 15:00-15:15 |
4P1_4D-O15 | Eruption history, conduit migration, and steady discharge of magma for the past 50,000 yr at Esan Volcanic Complex, northern Japan | Daisuke Miura, Ken-ichi Arai, Kiyoshi Toshida, Other | Daisuke Miura | 1151 |
| July 24 15:15-15:30 |
4P1_4D-O16 | Modeling of a non-eruptive volcanic deflation with strong earthquake swarm by integrated observation data in Meakan-dake, Hokkaido, Japan | Hiroaki Takahashi, Tomo Shibara, Hiroshi Aoyama, Other | Hiroaki Takahashi | 1152 |
| July 24 15:30-15:45 |
4P1_4D-O17 | Seismic anomaly as a medium-term precursor of new (2012-2013) fissure eruption of Plosky Tolbachik volcano, Kamchatka | Yulia Kugaenko, Vadim Saltykov, Petr Voropaev | Yulia Kugaenko | 1153 |
| July 24 15:45-16:00 |
4P1_4D-O18 | Assessing volcano state from multi-parameter monitoring data streams and other evidence using Bayesian belief networks | Henry Odbert, Willy Aspinall, Steve Sparks, Other | Henry Odbert | 1154 |
| July 24 16:00-16:15 |
4P1_4D-O19 Invited |
Quick analysis method for estimating debris flow prone area causedby rainfall in the volcanically disturbed watersheds | Takao Yamakoshi, Hiroshi Kisa, Takeshi Shimizu, Other | Takeshi Shimizu | 1155 |
| July 24 16:15-16:30 |
4P1_4D-O20 | Ellipse-approximated isopach maps for estimating ashfall volume at Sakurajima volcano | Yasuhisa Tajima, Takao Yamakoshi, Akira Tsune, Other | Yasuhisa Tajima | 1156 |
| July 24 16:30-16:45 |
4P1_4D-O21 | The next-generation real-time volcanic hazard assessment system in G-EVER | Shinji Takarada | Shinji Takarada | 1157 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P1 | Assessing long term hazards for la Soufriere of Guadeloupe volcano: insights from a new eruptive chronology, credible scenario definition, and integrated impact modelling | Jean-Christophe Komorowski, Yoann Legendre, Sara Barsotti, Other | Jean-Christophe Komorowski | 1158 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P2 | Multi source- ash fallout hazard map in western Caldas department (Colombia) | Carlos Borrero, Ana M. Garcia, Hugo F. Murcia, Other | Carlos Borrero | 1159 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P3 | Exploring the interface of probabilistic hazard analysis and risk assessment using BET_VH, Okataina Volcanic Centre, New Zealand | Mary Anne Thompson, Jan Lindsay, Laura Sandri, Other | Mary Anne Thompson | 1160 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P4 | Modeling volcanic hazards of Jan Mayen | Eirik Gjerlow, Armann Hoskuldsson, Costanza Bonadonna, Other | Eirik Gjerlow | 1161 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P5 | Risk analysis of Colima volcano, Mexico | Carlos Suarez-Plascencia, Miguel A Camarena-Garcia, Francisco J Nunez-Cornu | Carlos Suarez-Plascencia | 1162 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P6 | Re-interpretation of the Mugogo 1957 eruption in the framework of the volcano-tectonic structure of the Virunga Volcanic Province, D.R.Congo and Rwanda | Sam Poppe, Benoit Smets, Fabien Albino, Other | Sam Poppe | 1163 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P7 | Potentially hazardous volcanic systems in southern Ethiopia | Vladislav Rapprich, Yewubinesh Bekele, Daniel Kassaye, Other | Vladislav Rapprich | 1164 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P8 | The Tolbachik Fissure Basalt Eruption, Kamchatka (2012-2013) | Evegeny I Gordeev, Valery A Droznin, Anna O Volynets, Other | Yaroslav D Muravyev | 1165 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P9 | Geology and eruptive history of the Asama-Maekake volcano, central Japan, as a clue to the long-term prediction of volcanic hazards. | Masaki Takahashi, Maya Yasui, Hiroyuki Takemoto, Other | Masaki Takahashi | 1166 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P10 | Relationship between volcanic activity and chemical and isotopic compositions of thermal waters in Tokachidake volcano, Japan | Ryo Takahashi, Tomo Shibata, Yasuji Murayama, Other | Ryo Takahashi | 1167 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P11 | Volcano-tectonic interactions during rapid plate-boundary evolution in the Kyushu region, SW Japan. | Sue H Mahony, Laura M Wallace, Masaya Miyoshi, Other | Sue H Mahony | 1168 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P12 | Dry and wet debris avalanche deposits at Mt Meru volcano, Tanzania. | Audray Delcamp, Ben van Wyk de Vries, Matthieu Kervyn | Audray Delcamp | 1169 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P13 | Building a flood hydrograph caused by the volcanic eruption of Baekdusan in Cheon-ji caldera lake | Khil-Ha Lee, Sung-Wook Kim, Sang-Hyun Kim, Other | Khil-Ha Lee | 1170 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P14 | Eruption History and Future Scenario of Sinabung volcano, North Sumatra, Indonesia | Mitsuhiro Yoshimoto, Setsuya Nakada, Natsumi Hokanishi, Other | Mitsuhiro Yoshimoto | 1171 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P15 | Late Holocene stratigraphic record of Gunung Agung (Bali, Indonesia): an explosve basaltic andesite volcano | Karen Fontijn, Igan Sutawidjaja, Chris Newhall | Karen Fontijn | 1172 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P16 | Late Quaternary tephrostratigraphic record of Siete Lagos region, South-Central Chile | Karen Fontijn, Harriet Rawson, David M Pyle, Other | Karen Fontijn | 1173 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P17 | Volcanic hazard estimation using tephra GIS and geo-spatial information | Mamoru Koarai, Takehiko Suzuki | Mamoru Koarai | 1174 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P18 | Gravity change and crustal deformation in active Tokachi-dake volcano, Hokkaido, Japan | Noritoshi Okazaki, Wataru Hirose, Ryo Takahashi, Other | Noritoshi Okazaki | 1175 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P19 | Tiltmeter observation in Klyuchevskaya volcano, Kamchatka, Russia | Hiroaki Takahashi, Hiroki Miyamachi, Takeshi Matsushima, Other | Hiroaki Takahashi | 1176 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P20 | Near real-time hazard assessment during the 2011-2012 eruption of Puyehue-Cordon Caulle volcano, Southern Chile. | Alvaro Amigo, Luis E Lara, Daniel Bertin, Other | Alvaro Amigo | 1177 |
| July 24 Poster |
4W_4D-P21 | Oblique photogrammetry system for real-time monitoring of volcanic activity | Hisashi Sasaki, Kenichi Arai, Shigenori Fujimaki, Other | Hisashi Sasaki | 1178 |